574 lines
20 KiB
C++
574 lines
20 KiB
C++
// Copyright 2017 The Abseil Authors.
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//
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// Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
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// you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
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// You may obtain a copy of the License at
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//
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// https://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
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//
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// Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
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// distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
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// WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
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// See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
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// limitations under the License.
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#include "absl/random/poisson_distribution.h"
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#include <algorithm>
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#include <cstddef>
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#include <cstdint>
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#include <iterator>
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#include <random>
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#include <sstream>
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#include <string>
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#include <vector>
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#include "gmock/gmock.h"
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#include "gtest/gtest.h"
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#include "absl/base/internal/raw_logging.h"
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#include "absl/base/macros.h"
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#include "absl/container/flat_hash_map.h"
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#include "absl/random/internal/chi_square.h"
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#include "absl/random/internal/distribution_test_util.h"
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#include "absl/random/internal/pcg_engine.h"
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#include "absl/random/internal/sequence_urbg.h"
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#include "absl/random/random.h"
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#include "absl/strings/str_cat.h"
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#include "absl/strings/str_format.h"
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#include "absl/strings/str_replace.h"
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#include "absl/strings/strip.h"
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// Notes about generating poisson variates:
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//
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// It is unlikely that any implementation of std::poisson_distribution
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// will be stable over time and across library implementations. For instance
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// the three different poisson variate generators listed below all differ:
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//
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// https://github.com/ampl/gsl/tree/master/randist/poisson.c
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// * GSL uses a gamma + binomial + knuth method to compute poisson variates.
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//
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// https://github.com/gcc-mirror/gcc/blob/master/libstdc%2B%2B-v3/include/bits/random.tcc
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// * GCC uses the Devroye rejection algorithm, based on
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// Devroye, L. Non-Uniform Random Variates Generation. Springer-Verlag,
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// New York, 1986, Ch. X, Sects. 3.3 & 3.4 (+ Errata!), ~p.511
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// http://www.nrbook.com/devroye/
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//
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// https://github.com/llvm-mirror/libcxx/blob/master/include/random
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// * CLANG uses a different rejection method, which appears to include a
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// normal-distribution approximation and an exponential distribution to
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// compute the threshold, including a similar factorial approximation to this
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// one, but it is unclear where the algorithm comes from, exactly.
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//
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namespace {
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using absl::random_internal::kChiSquared;
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// The PoissonDistributionInterfaceTest provides a basic test that
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// absl::poisson_distribution conforms to the interface and serialization
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// requirements imposed by [rand.req.dist] for the common integer types.
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template <typename IntType>
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class PoissonDistributionInterfaceTest : public ::testing::Test {};
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using IntTypes = ::testing::Types<int, int8_t, int16_t, int32_t, int64_t,
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uint8_t, uint16_t, uint32_t, uint64_t>;
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TYPED_TEST_CASE(PoissonDistributionInterfaceTest, IntTypes);
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TYPED_TEST(PoissonDistributionInterfaceTest, SerializeTest) {
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using param_type = typename absl::poisson_distribution<TypeParam>::param_type;
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const double kMax =
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std::min(1e10 /* assertion limit */,
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static_cast<double>(std::numeric_limits<TypeParam>::max()));
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const double kParams[] = {
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// Cases around 1.
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1, //
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std::nextafter(1.0, 0.0), // 1 - epsilon
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std::nextafter(1.0, 2.0), // 1 + epsilon
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// Arbitrary values.
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1e-8, 1e-4,
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0.0000005, // ~7.2e-7
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0.2, // ~0.2x
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0.5, // 0.72
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2, // ~2.8
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20, // 3x ~9.6
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100, 1e4, 1e8, 1.5e9, 1e20,
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// Boundary cases.
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std::numeric_limits<double>::max(),
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std::numeric_limits<double>::epsilon(),
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std::nextafter(std::numeric_limits<double>::min(),
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1.0), // min + epsilon
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std::numeric_limits<double>::min(), // smallest normal
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std::numeric_limits<double>::denorm_min(), // smallest denorm
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std::numeric_limits<double>::min() / 2, // denorm
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std::nextafter(std::numeric_limits<double>::min(),
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0.0), // denorm_max
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};
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constexpr int kCount = 1000;
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absl::InsecureBitGen gen;
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for (const double m : kParams) {
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const double mean = std::min(kMax, m);
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const param_type param(mean);
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// Validate parameters.
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absl::poisson_distribution<TypeParam> before(mean);
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EXPECT_EQ(before.mean(), param.mean());
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{
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absl::poisson_distribution<TypeParam> via_param(param);
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EXPECT_EQ(via_param, before);
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EXPECT_EQ(via_param.param(), before.param());
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}
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// Smoke test.
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auto sample_min = before.max();
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auto sample_max = before.min();
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for (int i = 0; i < kCount; i++) {
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auto sample = before(gen);
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EXPECT_GE(sample, before.min());
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EXPECT_LE(sample, before.max());
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if (sample > sample_max) sample_max = sample;
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if (sample < sample_min) sample_min = sample;
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}
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ABSL_INTERNAL_LOG(INFO, absl::StrCat("Range {", param.mean(), "}: ",
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+sample_min, ", ", +sample_max));
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// Validate stream serialization.
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std::stringstream ss;
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ss << before;
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absl::poisson_distribution<TypeParam> after(3.8);
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EXPECT_NE(before.mean(), after.mean());
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EXPECT_NE(before.param(), after.param());
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EXPECT_NE(before, after);
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ss >> after;
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EXPECT_EQ(before.mean(), after.mean()) //
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<< ss.str() << " " //
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<< (ss.good() ? "good " : "") //
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<< (ss.bad() ? "bad " : "") //
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<< (ss.eof() ? "eof " : "") //
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<< (ss.fail() ? "fail " : "");
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}
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}
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// See http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/eda/section3/eda366j.htm
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class PoissonModel {
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public:
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explicit PoissonModel(double mean) : mean_(mean) {}
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double mean() const { return mean_; }
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double variance() const { return mean_; }
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double stddev() const { return std::sqrt(variance()); }
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double skew() const { return 1.0 / mean_; }
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double kurtosis() const { return 3.0 + 1.0 / mean_; }
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// InitCDF() initializes the CDF for the distribution parameters.
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void InitCDF();
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// The InverseCDF, or the Percent-point function returns x, P(x) < v.
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struct CDF {
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size_t index;
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double pmf;
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double cdf;
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};
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CDF InverseCDF(double p) {
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CDF target{0, 0, p};
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auto it = std::upper_bound(
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std::begin(cdf_), std::end(cdf_), target,
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[](const CDF& a, const CDF& b) { return a.cdf < b.cdf; });
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return *it;
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}
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void LogCDF() {
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ABSL_INTERNAL_LOG(INFO, absl::StrCat("CDF (mean = ", mean_, ")"));
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for (const auto c : cdf_) {
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ABSL_INTERNAL_LOG(INFO,
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absl::StrCat(c.index, ": pmf=", c.pmf, " cdf=", c.cdf));
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}
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}
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private:
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const double mean_;
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std::vector<CDF> cdf_;
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};
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// The goal is to compute an InverseCDF function, or percent point function for
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// the poisson distribution, and use that to partition our output into equal
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// range buckets. However there is no closed form solution for the inverse cdf
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// for poisson distributions (the closest is the incomplete gamma function).
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// Instead, `InitCDF` iteratively computes the PMF and the CDF. This enables
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// searching for the bucket points.
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void PoissonModel::InitCDF() {
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if (!cdf_.empty()) {
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// State already initialized.
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return;
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}
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ABSL_ASSERT(mean_ < 201.0);
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const size_t max_i = 50 * stddev() + mean();
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const double e_neg_mean = std::exp(-mean());
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ABSL_ASSERT(e_neg_mean > 0);
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double d = 1;
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double last_result = e_neg_mean;
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double cumulative = e_neg_mean;
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if (e_neg_mean > 1e-10) {
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cdf_.push_back({0, e_neg_mean, cumulative});
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}
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for (size_t i = 1; i < max_i; i++) {
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d *= (mean() / i);
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double result = e_neg_mean * d;
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cumulative += result;
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if (result < 1e-10 && result < last_result && cumulative > 0.999999) {
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break;
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}
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if (result > 1e-7) {
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cdf_.push_back({i, result, cumulative});
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}
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last_result = result;
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}
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ABSL_ASSERT(!cdf_.empty());
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}
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// PoissonDistributionZTest implements a z-test for the poisson distribution.
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struct ZParam {
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double mean;
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double p_fail; // Z-Test probability of failure.
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int trials; // Z-Test trials.
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size_t samples; // Z-Test samples.
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};
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class PoissonDistributionZTest : public testing::TestWithParam<ZParam>,
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public PoissonModel {
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public:
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PoissonDistributionZTest() : PoissonModel(GetParam().mean) {}
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// ZTestImpl provides a basic z-squared test of the mean vs. expected
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// mean for data generated by the poisson distribution.
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template <typename D>
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bool SingleZTest(const double p, const size_t samples);
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// We use a fixed bit generator for distribution accuracy tests. This allows
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// these tests to be deterministic, while still testing the qualify of the
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// implementation.
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absl::random_internal::pcg64_2018_engine rng_{0x2B7E151628AED2A6};
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};
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template <typename D>
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bool PoissonDistributionZTest::SingleZTest(const double p,
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const size_t samples) {
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D dis(mean());
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absl::flat_hash_map<int32_t, int> buckets;
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std::vector<double> data;
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data.reserve(samples);
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for (int j = 0; j < samples; j++) {
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const auto x = dis(rng_);
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buckets[x]++;
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data.push_back(x);
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}
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// The null-hypothesis is that the distribution is a poisson distribution with
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// the provided mean (not estimated from the data).
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const auto m = absl::random_internal::ComputeDistributionMoments(data);
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const double max_err = absl::random_internal::MaxErrorTolerance(p);
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const double z = absl::random_internal::ZScore(mean(), m);
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const bool pass = absl::random_internal::Near("z", z, 0.0, max_err);
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if (!pass) {
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ABSL_INTERNAL_LOG(
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INFO, absl::StrFormat("p=%f max_err=%f\n"
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" mean=%f vs. %f\n"
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" stddev=%f vs. %f\n"
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" skewness=%f vs. %f\n"
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" kurtosis=%f vs. %f\n"
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" z=%f",
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p, max_err, m.mean, mean(), std::sqrt(m.variance),
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stddev(), m.skewness, skew(), m.kurtosis,
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kurtosis(), z));
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}
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return pass;
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}
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TEST_P(PoissonDistributionZTest, AbslPoissonDistribution) {
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const auto& param = GetParam();
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const int expected_failures =
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std::max(1, static_cast<int>(std::ceil(param.trials * param.p_fail)));
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const double p = absl::random_internal::RequiredSuccessProbability(
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param.p_fail, param.trials);
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int failures = 0;
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for (int i = 0; i < param.trials; i++) {
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failures +=
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SingleZTest<absl::poisson_distribution<int32_t>>(p, param.samples) ? 0
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: 1;
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}
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EXPECT_LE(failures, expected_failures);
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}
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std::vector<ZParam> GetZParams() {
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// These values have been adjusted from the "exact" computed values to reduce
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// failure rates.
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//
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// It turns out that the actual values are not as close to the expected values
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// as would be ideal.
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return std::vector<ZParam>({
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// Knuth method.
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ZParam{0.5, 0.01, 100, 1000},
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ZParam{1.0, 0.01, 100, 1000},
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ZParam{10.0, 0.01, 100, 5000},
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// Split-knuth method.
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ZParam{20.0, 0.01, 100, 10000},
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ZParam{50.0, 0.01, 100, 10000},
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// Ratio of gaussians method.
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ZParam{51.0, 0.01, 100, 10000},
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ZParam{200.0, 0.05, 10, 100000},
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ZParam{100000.0, 0.05, 10, 1000000},
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});
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}
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std::string ZParamName(const ::testing::TestParamInfo<ZParam>& info) {
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const auto& p = info.param;
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std::string name = absl::StrCat("mean_", absl::SixDigits(p.mean));
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return absl::StrReplaceAll(name, {{"+", "_"}, {"-", "_"}, {".", "_"}});
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}
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INSTANTIATE_TEST_SUITE_P(All, PoissonDistributionZTest,
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::testing::ValuesIn(GetZParams()), ZParamName);
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// The PoissonDistributionChiSquaredTest class provides a basic test framework
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// for variates generated by a conforming poisson_distribution.
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class PoissonDistributionChiSquaredTest : public testing::TestWithParam<double>,
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public PoissonModel {
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public:
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PoissonDistributionChiSquaredTest() : PoissonModel(GetParam()) {}
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// The ChiSquaredTestImpl provides a chi-squared goodness of fit test for data
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// generated by the poisson distribution.
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template <typename D>
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double ChiSquaredTestImpl();
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private:
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void InitChiSquaredTest(const double buckets);
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std::vector<size_t> cutoffs_;
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std::vector<double> expected_;
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// We use a fixed bit generator for distribution accuracy tests. This allows
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// these tests to be deterministic, while still testing the qualify of the
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// implementation.
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absl::random_internal::pcg64_2018_engine rng_{0x2B7E151628AED2A6};
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};
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void PoissonDistributionChiSquaredTest::InitChiSquaredTest(
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const double buckets) {
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if (!cutoffs_.empty() && !expected_.empty()) {
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return;
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}
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InitCDF();
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// The code below finds cuttoffs that yield approximately equally-sized
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// buckets to the extent that it is possible. However for poisson
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// distributions this is particularly challenging for small mean parameters.
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// Track the expected proportion of items in each bucket.
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double last_cdf = 0;
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const double inc = 1.0 / buckets;
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for (double p = inc; p <= 1.0; p += inc) {
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auto result = InverseCDF(p);
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if (!cutoffs_.empty() && cutoffs_.back() == result.index) {
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continue;
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}
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double d = result.cdf - last_cdf;
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cutoffs_.push_back(result.index);
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expected_.push_back(d);
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last_cdf = result.cdf;
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}
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cutoffs_.push_back(std::numeric_limits<size_t>::max());
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expected_.push_back(std::max(0.0, 1.0 - last_cdf));
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}
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template <typename D>
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double PoissonDistributionChiSquaredTest::ChiSquaredTestImpl() {
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const int kSamples = 2000;
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const int kBuckets = 50;
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// The poisson CDF fails for large mean values, since e^-mean exceeds the
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// machine precision. For these cases, using a normal approximation would be
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// appropriate.
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ABSL_ASSERT(mean() <= 200);
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InitChiSquaredTest(kBuckets);
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D dis(mean());
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std::vector<int32_t> counts(cutoffs_.size(), 0);
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for (int j = 0; j < kSamples; j++) {
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const size_t x = dis(rng_);
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auto it = std::lower_bound(std::begin(cutoffs_), std::end(cutoffs_), x);
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counts[std::distance(cutoffs_.begin(), it)]++;
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}
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// Normalize the counts.
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std::vector<int32_t> e(expected_.size(), 0);
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for (int i = 0; i < e.size(); i++) {
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e[i] = kSamples * expected_[i];
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}
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// The null-hypothesis is that the distribution is a poisson distribution with
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// the provided mean (not estimated from the data).
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const int dof = static_cast<int>(counts.size()) - 1;
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// The threshold for logging is 1-in-50.
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const double threshold = absl::random_internal::ChiSquareValue(dof, 0.98);
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const double chi_square = absl::random_internal::ChiSquare(
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std::begin(counts), std::end(counts), std::begin(e), std::end(e));
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const double p = absl::random_internal::ChiSquarePValue(chi_square, dof);
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// Log if the chi_squared value is above the threshold.
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if (chi_square > threshold) {
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LogCDF();
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ABSL_INTERNAL_LOG(INFO, absl::StrCat("VALUES buckets=", counts.size(),
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" samples=", kSamples));
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for (size_t i = 0; i < counts.size(); i++) {
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ABSL_INTERNAL_LOG(
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INFO, absl::StrCat(cutoffs_[i], ": ", counts[i], " vs. E=", e[i]));
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}
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ABSL_INTERNAL_LOG(
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INFO,
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absl::StrCat(kChiSquared, "(data, dof=", dof, ") = ", chi_square, " (",
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p, ")\n", " vs.\n", kChiSquared, " @ 0.98 = ", threshold));
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}
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return p;
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}
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TEST_P(PoissonDistributionChiSquaredTest, AbslPoissonDistribution) {
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const int kTrials = 20;
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// Large values are not yet supported -- this requires estimating the cdf
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// using the normal distribution instead of the poisson in this case.
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ASSERT_LE(mean(), 200.0);
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if (mean() > 200.0) {
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return;
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}
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int failures = 0;
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for (int i = 0; i < kTrials; i++) {
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double p_value = ChiSquaredTestImpl<absl::poisson_distribution<int32_t>>();
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if (p_value < 0.005) {
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failures++;
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}
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}
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// There is a 0.10% chance of producing at least one failure, so raise the
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// failure threshold high enough to allow for a flake rate < 10,000.
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EXPECT_LE(failures, 4);
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}
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INSTANTIATE_TEST_SUITE_P(All, PoissonDistributionChiSquaredTest,
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::testing::Values(0.5, 1.0, 2.0, 10.0, 50.0, 51.0,
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200.0));
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// NOTE: absl::poisson_distribution is not guaranteed to be stable.
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TEST(PoissonDistributionTest, StabilityTest) {
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using testing::ElementsAre;
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// absl::poisson_distribution stability relies on stability of
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// std::exp, std::log, std::sqrt, std::ceil, std::floor, and
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// absl::FastUniformBits, absl::StirlingLogFactorial, absl::RandU64ToDouble.
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absl::random_internal::sequence_urbg urbg({
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0x035b0dc7e0a18acfull, 0x06cebe0d2653682eull, 0x0061e9b23861596bull,
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0x0003eb76f6f7f755ull, 0xFFCEA50FDB2F953Bull, 0xC332DDEFBE6C5AA5ull,
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0x6558218568AB9702ull, 0x2AEF7DAD5B6E2F84ull, 0x1521B62829076170ull,
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0xECDD4775619F1510ull, 0x13CCA830EB61BD96ull, 0x0334FE1EAA0363CFull,
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0xB5735C904C70A239ull, 0xD59E9E0BCBAADE14ull, 0xEECC86BC60622CA7ull,
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0x4864f22c059bf29eull, 0x247856d8b862665cull, 0xe46e86e9a1337e10ull,
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0xd8c8541f3519b133ull, 0xe75b5162c567b9e4ull, 0xf732e5ded7009c5bull,
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0xb170b98353121eacull, 0x1ec2e8986d2362caull, 0x814c8e35fe9a961aull,
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0x0c3cd59c9b638a02ull, 0xcb3bb6478a07715cull, 0x1224e62c978bbc7full,
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0x671ef2cb04e81f6eull, 0x3c1cbd811eaf1808ull, 0x1bbc23cfa8fac721ull,
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0xa4c2cda65e596a51ull, 0xb77216fad37adf91ull, 0x836d794457c08849ull,
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0xe083df03475f49d7ull, 0xbc9feb512e6b0d6cull, 0xb12d74fdd718c8c5ull,
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0x12ff09653bfbe4caull, 0x8dd03a105bc4ee7eull, 0x5738341045ba0d85ull,
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0xf3fd722dc65ad09eull, 0xfa14fd21ea2a5705ull, 0xffe6ea4d6edb0c73ull,
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0xD07E9EFE2BF11FB4ull, 0x95DBDA4DAE909198ull, 0xEAAD8E716B93D5A0ull,
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0xD08ED1D0AFC725E0ull, 0x8E3C5B2F8E7594B7ull, 0x8FF6E2FBF2122B64ull,
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0x8888B812900DF01Cull, 0x4FAD5EA0688FC31Cull, 0xD1CFF191B3A8C1ADull,
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0x2F2F2218BE0E1777ull, 0xEA752DFE8B021FA1ull, 0xE5A0CC0FB56F74E8ull,
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0x18ACF3D6CE89E299ull, 0xB4A84FE0FD13E0B7ull, 0x7CC43B81D2ADA8D9ull,
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0x165FA26680957705ull, 0x93CC7314211A1477ull, 0xE6AD206577B5FA86ull,
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0xC75442F5FB9D35CFull, 0xEBCDAF0C7B3E89A0ull, 0xD6411BD3AE1E7E49ull,
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0x00250E2D2071B35Eull, 0x226800BB57B8E0AFull, 0x2464369BF009B91Eull,
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0x5563911D59DFA6AAull, 0x78C14389D95A537Full, 0x207D5BA202E5B9C5ull,
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0x832603766295CFA9ull, 0x11C819684E734A41ull, 0xB3472DCA7B14A94Aull,
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});
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std::vector<int> output(10);
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// Method 1.
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{
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absl::poisson_distribution<int> dist(5);
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std::generate(std::begin(output), std::end(output),
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[&] { return dist(urbg); });
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}
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EXPECT_THAT(output, // mean = 4.2
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ElementsAre(1, 0, 0, 4, 2, 10, 3, 3, 7, 12));
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// Method 2.
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{
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urbg.reset();
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absl::poisson_distribution<int> dist(25);
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std::generate(std::begin(output), std::end(output),
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[&] { return dist(urbg); });
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}
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EXPECT_THAT(output, // mean = 19.8
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ElementsAre(9, 35, 18, 10, 35, 18, 10, 35, 18, 10));
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// Method 3.
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{
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urbg.reset();
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absl::poisson_distribution<int> dist(121);
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std::generate(std::begin(output), std::end(output),
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[&] { return dist(urbg); });
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}
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EXPECT_THAT(output, // mean = 124.1
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ElementsAre(161, 122, 129, 124, 112, 112, 117, 120, 130, 114));
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}
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TEST(PoissonDistributionTest, AlgorithmExpectedValue_1) {
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// This tests small values of the Knuth method.
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// The underlying uniform distribution will generate exactly 0.5.
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absl::random_internal::sequence_urbg urbg({0x8000000000000001ull});
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absl::poisson_distribution<int> dist(5);
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EXPECT_EQ(7, dist(urbg));
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}
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TEST(PoissonDistributionTest, AlgorithmExpectedValue_2) {
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// This tests larger values of the Knuth method.
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// The underlying uniform distribution will generate exactly 0.5.
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absl::random_internal::sequence_urbg urbg({0x8000000000000001ull});
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absl::poisson_distribution<int> dist(25);
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EXPECT_EQ(36, dist(urbg));
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}
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TEST(PoissonDistributionTest, AlgorithmExpectedValue_3) {
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// This variant uses the ratio of uniforms method.
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absl::random_internal::sequence_urbg urbg(
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{0x7fffffffffffffffull, 0x8000000000000000ull});
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absl::poisson_distribution<int> dist(121);
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EXPECT_EQ(121, dist(urbg));
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}
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} // namespace
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